Fukushima and the Coming Tokyo Earthquake

and what it will mean for a fragile world economy

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Pub Date Feb 07 2019 | Archive Date May 08 2019

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Description

This book tells the tale of two large earthquakes, one that took place in 2011, another imminent, both located in Japan. They will have a major impact on future use of nuclear energy, and also on over-indebted and increasingly fragile world economies.

Using Japanese sources, the book depicts the cultural patterns and assumptions, as well as absence of accountability, in the period before and after the earthquake of March 11th, 2011.

The following chapters ‘chunk up’, examining the economic and political consequences of using nuclear power. Further chapters detail the benefits and disadvantages of both nuclear and renewable energy in a world where greenhouse gases accumulating in the atmosphere are increasingly harmful to the earth’s climate and ecosystems.

Japanese economic, bureaucratic and political power is concentrated at the head of Tōkyō Bay. Over one third of Japanese imports and exports are routed through that bay. Official complacency and a failure to adequately prepare for an earthquake there mean that such an event will have significant consequences.

A catastrophic earthquake near Tokyo will likely precipitate repatriation of overseas assets and loss of access to Japan’s hi-tech products, products vital to an interconnected world economy.

Fukushima and the coming Tokyo Earthquake looks back on recent events that have deeply affected one of world’s most advanced countries, but it also looks forward to future possibilities, where the interaction of nature’s power, changing energy sources, and human action will determine our joint futures. Tony Smyth has lived in Tokyo for 37 years.

This book tells the tale of two large earthquakes, one that took place in 2011, another imminent, both located in Japan. They will have a major impact on future use of nuclear energy, and also on...


Advance Praise

Avery: I saw Tony Smyth's answers on Quora where he was talking about Fukushima and related issues, and got very curious about his book. I am an expat in Tokyo like him, and he seemed like a guy who knew how to evaluate information and convey it clearly. I am pleased with the book and will be keeping my copy. I especially enjoyed the many well-made graphs which show up well on Kindle.

The majority of the book is about how Japan's culture created the Fukushima accident and the energy situation they have now. My only criticism would be that I think Tony is a little too cynical about Japanese culture and not everything he says on that subject is entirely accurate. But he does present a lot of valuable scientific and social information about how to understand the Fukushima accident and the impact on health, and how to put it into a larger context. Some of the facts he offers were surprising to me, and he did a good job showing how everything ties together into a bigger picture of Japan today. The section on what might happen in a possible future Tokyo earthquake is relatively small but also packed with reliably sourced information.

I recommend this book for anyone who is curious or concerned about the Fukushima reactors and wants a big summary of well-organized, reliable information to evaluate risks for themselves.

N N Light: This is an extraordinarily well written fact filled book.

The author provides excellent intense detail surrounding the Fukushima earthquake and the nuclear disaster aftermath. I was always left wondering how homeless and down on their luck men were thrust into radioactive zones right after to do ‘clean up’.

This book details the quiet factor that lays under nearly every layer of Japanese Society. Organized Crime. For any who think the ‘Mob’ is being defeated – read this book – it is alive and thriving in Japan. The scandalous reaction of the Japanese rulers and Nuclear Energy Group to the meltdown is tied intricately to Japanese custom.

I found this book thought provoking, jarring and yet still an easy read. The book details what happened in 2011 and what will yet happen when a big earthquake hits Tokyo (it’s about 25 years overdo). The discussion as to what alternatives for energy the world has goes back over well trodden ground: fossil fuel/nuclear/renewable alternatives. Not unlike the book I read on solar power a few years back, the issues with this discussion often are heavily weighed down with politics, money and big business.

Surfs Up Writers Bookshelves:This is a well-researched and documented book about how nuclear plants came to be built along catastrophic fault lines in Japan. It describes what already happened when a tidal wave hit the Fukushima nuclear plant area in 2011. The author, Tony Smyth, goes into many facets of the subject: the political and socio/economic climate that let to massive nuclear plant infrastructure in Japan.

The beauty of the book is that it is not anti-nuclear plants per se. Instead, it is a thorough look into the pro's and con's of nuclear plants, their designs, nuclear storage capacities and the ways they melt down during a natural disaster. The author also delves into designs of safer earthquake-resistant buildings, how to prepare for the coming earthquake and the economic impact of the economy if the global city of Tokyo is knocked out for any length of time.

The author peppers his scientific writing with personal stories: the seasick man swaying in the skyscraper when the earthquake hit and the young girl who helped others to escape the tsunami, only to lose her life when the overpowering wave sucked her out to sea. Yet, in this brilliant book, the theme of climate change is central to the reading experience. The author objectively lists the scientific effects of temperatures rising: he shows what happens when the earth becomes two degrees warmer, and what happens when it gets three degrees warmer. The last list of effects is one no person would ever want to live through.

Avery: I saw Tony Smyth's answers on Quora where he was talking about Fukushima and related issues, and got very curious about his book. I am an expat in Tokyo like him, and he seemed like a guy who...


Available Editions

ISBN 9784990935016
PRICE $10.14 (USD)

Average rating from 5 members


Featured Reviews

Tony Smyth has done his research. This book is full of facts and figures, with a good deal of opinion thrown in as well. His writing style is not too fussy, so I got into the cadence of words quickly while remaining interested throughout the litany of numbers. First off, I learned a good deal about seismic activity and how the buildings in Japan are created to withstand earthquakes. Some structures have fluid filled “shock absorbers” or sliding walls while others have complex structural cross-bracing which is designed to buckle while absorbing seismic energy.

Despite these measures, nothing could prevent the nuclear meltdown that occurred at the Fukushima power plant because there was no way to protect against the tsunami that devastated the area post-quake. Thousands of lives were lost, towns were washed away, and the land was (and still is) overrun with radioactive isotopes.

The author notes that the total costs of the earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear meltdowns of 2011 make those events the world’s most expensive natural disaster. There are a lot of absolutes in this book, yet the author remains fairly neutral about nuclear power. There are plenty of reasons (global warming, cost of disposal, impact on the planet) to seek out alternatives, yet Smyth balances his words well and merely uses them as a warning, not a condemnation. More concerning are the politics of how the reactors came to be, regardless of the fact that many of them are superfluous.

The author speaks from experience; he lives in Japan and is familiar with the socio-economic climate and Japanese culture. Despite the business-heavy title, each facet of the country and the disaster is discussed in plain language that cannot help but affect the reader. Smyth heavily includes the human element, with heart-wrenching stories of parents waiting in vain for their children to get home or children worried about their elderly parents in the flood zone.

My main takeaway from this book was not fear for the future of Japanese business; instead, it was fear for the future of mankind and our planet. The section of the book concerning global warming was extremely edifying, and as a result, I will personally make an effort to reduce my global footprint.

I feel this is an important book to read on so many levels. Please pick up your copy here.

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I'm glad the author wrote this book. Nuclear energy is not without it's issues. I have wondered since the beginning just how safe these power plants actually are. Well, we know now. Scary days on the planet. Yes, a couple good big quakes take these things out and we will ALL have a very big problem. I am sure it will cause major issues with world economies as they do seem frightfully fragile at this time. Great read. Points out a lot of heart stopping man made flaws on the planet. Yeah, us.

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This book touches on subjects that I do not come across when dealing with the Japanese culture - its dark side and how it contributes to a national disaster that is the Fukushima meltdown... and through it all, how inaction will bring about a painful future.
While the title may lead you to think of simply a disaster befalling just Japan alone, the author links the concept of nuclear power with the whole world. As Japan grasps at the weak support for nuclear power, so do the rest of the world, in thinking that nuclear power is indeed a green power. However, who thinks of the powers behind the structure (being focused on power), or of what nature can provide us as we are depleting our resources quicker than the replacing power.
In all, this book is about corruption and tunnel vision. With Fukushima as an example, we are all reminded that when we do things, we should cast our sights further than with simply money and power as the sole motivator.

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